The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) alters the climate all over the world. The 1997-1998 El Nino was one of the strongest on record. Consequently, 1998 is one of the warmest years on record globally. ENSO is known to impact the United States winter weather, but what does it do during the spring?
New research suggests that ENSO affects severe storms during the spring time. In general, the authors found that an ENSO warm phase (El Nino) acts to suppress the frequency of tornadoes and hail in the southern central US, while an ENSO cool phase (La Nina) increases the frequency of tornadoes and hail.
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Figure 1. El Nino influence is on the left and La Nina is on the right. Orange colors indicate less frequent, while purple colors indicate more frequent. Source: http://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/el-ni%C3%B1o-and-la-ni%C3%B1a-affect-spring-tornadoes-and-hailstorms
When the sea surface temperatures over the Equatorial Pacific are above or below normal conditions, the general circulation temporarily changes. This anomaly causes the Jet Stream, over the US, to change. El Nino weakens the surface winds that cause warm, moist air to advect northwards. La Nina increases the winds. It's interesting to note that the 2010/2011 winter season was influence by a La Nina. Also, the spring 2011 severe weather seasons was one of the worst on record.
Unfortunately, the understanding of ENSO's infleunce on spring climate is less certain. Considering the severe weather season peaks in the spring for the United States, more research should be conducted to better understand ENSO's influence.
Cheers,
Source: http://www.climate.gov/news-features/featured-images/el-ni%C3%B1o-and-la-ni%C3%B1a-affect-spring-tornadoes-and-hailstorms
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